Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.122868 0.135686 0.148827 0.163277 0.178692 0.194615 0.212279
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.105782 0.125536 0.146782 0.171200 0.198359 0.227512 0.261043
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.089232 0.113096 0.139887 0.171877 0.208722 0.249524 0.297812
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.074427 0.100444 0.130848 0.168433 0.213074 0.263849 0.325400
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.067471 0.095987 0.130436 0.174224 0.227502 0.289358 0.365708
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.061056 0.091319 0.129031 0.178200 0.239329 0.311591 0.402192
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.055088 0.086495 0.126812 0.180642 0.248904 0.330926 0.435208
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.049355 0.081344 0.123624 0.181380 0.256005 0.347046 0.464294
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.048672 0.082992 0.129278 0.193501 0.277530 0.381082 0.515573
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.044773 0.079676 0.127945 0.196206 0.286882 0.399977 0.548340
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.041729 0.077299 0.127652 0.200105 0.297673 0.420675 0.583465
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.037772 0.073173 0.124590 0.199977 0.302987 0.434329 0.609775
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.036544 0.073384 0.127990 0.209236 0.321505 0.465898 0.660135
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.035361 0.073596 0.131417 0.218680 0.340574 0.498646 0.712703
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.032048 0.069985 0.128903 0.219491 0.347805 0.515968 0.745624
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.027906 0.064532 0.123216 0.215397 0.348047 0.523964 0.766480
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.026653 0.063999 0.125057 0.222283 0.363590 0.552376 0.814150
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.025041 0.062648 0.125485 0.227003 0.376100 0.576832 0.856859
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.023203 0.060679 0.124771 0.229901 0.385989 0.597812 0.895150
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.021150 0.058073 0.122825 0.230775 0.392900 0.614754 0.928188
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.021660 0.060591 0.129517 0.245124 0.419487 0.658823 0.997757
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.020204 0.058970 0.129095 0.248320 0.429850 0.680720 1.037852
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.019089 0.057936 0.129596 0.252924 0.442288 0.705563 1.082081